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2007-2008年中国煤焦油行业研究报告
字数:2.9万 页数:34 图表数:50
中文电子版:5000元 中文纸版:4500元 发布日期:2008-06
英文电子版:1200美元 英文纸版:1100美元
编号:FY066 附件:下载 购买报告

        随着焦化产品回收和精加工的迅速发展,中国煤焦油消费将呈现增长趋势。 同时,由于国外炼焦行业的关停并转,煤焦油生产日趋减少,国际市场呈现资源偏紧态势。此外,国内一批陶瓷、玻璃、蒸汽热能等行业大量收购煤焦油替代重油作燃料,全国煤焦油资源将继续紧张。因此,预测2009年煤焦油市场需求仍然看好,其价格将随着成品油价和下游产品价格的波动而联动。

        2007年,全国机焦生产应回收煤焦油约1230万吨,实际回收焦油量约840万吨左右,约有390万吨左右没有回收。

图:2004-2008年煤焦油产量(单位:万吨)

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整理:水清木华研究中心

        由于国内焦油资源紧张,而煤焦油加工生产能力却仍在不断扩大。因此在未来几年,中国焦油加工行业会形成激烈竞争的局面。尽管存在市场强大需求的拉动,但是激烈的竞争必将会降低企业的整体盈利水平。

        中国煤焦油加工产业正面临产业升级,发展趋势是向集中化、规模化、精细化方向发展。大部分的中小焦油加工企业将被产业升级所淘汰。根据国家行业政策,焦油加工单套装置能力要求在10万吨/年以上,这就要求原料供应地至少要有200万吨/年以上的焦炭加工能力。所以,在原料产地建厂、或是有实力焦化企业向煤焦油深加工方向发展是最符合中国产业发展的趋势。

        本报告主要依据来源于国家统计局、国家海关总署、商务部、国家经济信息中心、中国煤焦油网、国内外相关刊物的基础信息以及煤焦油行业研究单位等公布和提供的大量资料。报告对中国煤焦油行业的产量、价格、下游产业链中的工业萘市场、炭黑市场、煤沥青市场以及煤焦油加工行业发展趋势进行探讨。

 

China coal tar consumption will be on the upward trend with the recycling of coking products and rapid development of finishing processing sector. Meanwhile, as foreign coking plants have been closed down, suspended, merged or switched to other lines of production, making coal tar production increasingly fall, so the international market is in a situation of tight resources. Moreover, a group of domestic industries, including ceramics, glass and steam heating have purchased a great deal of coal tar to substitute heavy oil as fuel, so China will continue to have a short supply of coal tar. Therefore, it is forecast that China’s market demand for coal tar will remain good in 2009, and China’s coal tar prices will fluctuate in tandem with ups and downs of international crude oil prices and downstream product prices in the year.

In 2007, China's total recovery of coal tar was supposed to be 12.3 million tons, but actually 8.4 million tons were recycled and 3.9 million tons were unrecovered.

China Coal Tar Output, 2004-2008 (unit: 10,000 tons)

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Source: ResearchInChina

China is still continuously expanding its coal tar processing capacity, because of short supply in domestic market. So it is expected that China’s coal tar processing industry will see a severe competition in the next few years. Though the industry is boosted by strong market demand, the overall profitability of the companies is bound to be reduced due to intense competition.

China coal tar processing industry is facing an industrial upgrading and the development trend is to make the industry more centralized, enlarge its production scale and make its processing finer. Most medium- and small-sized coal tar processing companies will be eliminated during the industry upgrading. According to the national industry policy, a single unit must have an annual coal tar processing capacity of above 100,000 tons, meaning a raw materials supplier should have an annual coke processing capacity of above 2 million tons. Therefore, it is the most consistent with the development trend of China coal tar industry that coal tar producers should build their plants nearby a coke production base or some powerful coke producers can develop to the direction of deep processing of coal tar. 

The report is based on the authoritative statistics and information from the National Bureau of Statistics, the General Administration of Customs, the Ministry of Commerce and the China Economic Information Network, and substantial information from publications at home and abroad and research institutions, regarding China coal tar industry. Thus report makes an in-depth study on the output and prices of China’s coal tar industry as well as the development trend of its downstream industries, including naphthalin, carbon black and bitumen.

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