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2007-2008年输配电及控制设备上市公司研究报告
字数:3.6万 页数:125 图表数:122
中文电子版:6000元 中文纸版:5500元 发布日期:2008-03
英文电子版:1800美元 英文纸版:1700美元
编号:FY024 附件:下载 购买报告

  中国电力工业长期以来存在“重发电、轻供电、不管用电”的问题,输配电网的建设严重滞后于电源建设。因此,“十一五”期间国家电力建设的重点转向了电网建设,输变电设备制造行业也与电网投资保持了同步增长。

图: 2006-2007年输配电设备制造行业重点公司销售总额变化趋势

整理:水清木华研究中心

  2007年1-8月,输变电制造行业整体收入同比增长35.02%,利润总额同比增长33.99%,均处于较高的水平;行业总体毛利率达到13.61%,较2006年同期水平下降了0.57个百分点。输变电制造各子行业利润增长水平普遍高于收入增长水平。

  变压器行业中国家电网公司采购的变压器在容量上有44.43%的增长,在变压器设备行业,龙头公司的地位非常稳固,排名前八名的公司中只有天威保变的排名略有变动,但是各家公司的增长水平还是各有差异。

  电抗器相比于2006年采购数量基本持平,500kV 等级数量下降。国网公司两年集中采购的电抗器从数量上基本持平。西安中扬电气的数量从150 个大幅上升到288 个,增长率92%。但是变压器公司龙头企业中标个数都有下降,其中特变电工的数量从111 下降到了37 个,天威保变2006 年有19 个,2007年则一个没有。

表:2006—2007年国网公司电抗器集中招标市场份额

2006年

2007年

单位

数量(台)

比例

单位

数量(台)

比例

增长率

北京电力设备总厂

327

42.80%

西安中扬电气

288

38.15%

92.00%

西安中扬电气

150

19.63%

北京电力设备总厂

279

36.95%

-14.68%

特变电工

111

14.53%

西电机械制造公司

76

10.07%

35.71%

西电机械制造公司

56

7.33%

特变电工

37

4.90%

-66.67%

上海MWB

51

6.68%

上海MWB

27

3.58%

-47.06%

顺特电气

30

3.93%

保定保菱

23

3.05%

43.75%

天威保变

19

2.49%

顺特电气

21

2.78%

-30.00%

保定保菱

16

2.09%

上海伊藤忠

2

0.26%

 

重庆ABB

4

0.52%

思源电气

2

0.26%

 

总计

764

100.00%

总计

755

100.00%

-1.18%

附注:2007 年为前8 次集中招标数
数据来源:国家电网公司,水清木华研究中心整理

  2008年1月的南方雪灾,对南方电网造成重大损失,这在一定程度上将带动输变电行业的需求增长。

  国家电网公司于2008年3月表示,将全面提高电网设计标准,其中110~330千伏电网设防标准由15年一遇提高到30年一遇,500千伏电网设防标准由30年一遇提高到50年一遇,750千伏电网设防标准为50年一遇,正在建设的特高压工程设防标准按100年一遇考虑。预计国网建设将进行3-5年,这样看来输变电公司的发展前景看好。

  本报告首先对输变电制造行业的发展概况进行了详细的描述,其次对输变电行业的所有上市公司的总体数据进行了分析以及对18家上市公司的主营业务、投资情况、未来发展趋势进行了研究,最后对输变电行业的未来进行了预测。

Abstract

China’s power industry used to pay much more attention to power generation than power supply and care little about electricity usage for a long time, so the construction of China’s power transmission and distribution grid lags far behind that of power generation. Therefore, during the “11th Five-year Plan” period (2006-2010), state shifts the emphasis of power construction towards the grid construction to make the power transmission equipment manufacturing sector develop in tandem with the growth in power grid investment.

Sales of Key Power Transmission & Distribution Equipment Producers, 2006-H1 2007


Source: ResearchInChina

From Jan. to Aug., 2007, the total revenue and profit of the power transmission and distribution equipment manufacturing industry rose 35.02% and 33.99% year on year respectively, and both of them stayed at relatively high level. The gross profit rate of the entire industry reached 13.61%, 0.57 percentage points lower than the same period of 2006. As for its sub-sectors, their profit growth rates were generally higher than their revenue growth rates.

In the transformer sector, the transformer capacity purchased by State Grid Corporation of China or SGCC, increased by 44.43%, making SGCC firmly retain its leading position. Among the top eight companies, only Tianwei Baobian Transformer Co., Ltd. (TWBB) had a change in the ranking and there still existed disparity in the growth rate among them.

Basically, the number of reactors purchased by SGCC in 2007 was equal to that in 2006, but the amount of purchase dropped slightly by 500 kilovolts. In 2007, the number of reactors bought by Xi'an Zhongyang Electric Corp. jumped to 288 from 150, up 92% year on year.

However, in 2007, the leading transformer companies had a decline in the number of bids they won compared to 2006. The number of bids Tebian Electric Apparatus Stock Co., Ltd. (TBEA) won reduced to 37 in the year from 111 recorded in 2006. Tianwei Baobian Transformer Co., Ltd. (TWBB) won 19 bids successfully in 2006 but got none in 2007.

Market Share of Reactors by SGCC through Public Biddings, 2006-2007


Notes: Statistics in 2007 are data from the first eight public biddings in the year.
Source:SGCC

The snow disaster in southern China in January of 2008 caused great damages to China Southern Power Grid Co., but this will boost the growth of the power transmission and distribution industry. In March of 2008, SGCC said that it would enhance the standard of power grid design comprehensively. SGCC will raise 110-330 KV power grid security standards 30 years from current 15 years, 500 KV power grid security standards to 50 years from 30 years and 750 KV power grid security standards to 50 years. And the power grid security standards for SGCC’s ultra high voltage projects under construction will be set for 100 years. It is predicted that the construction of the national power grid network will last for three to five years, indicating the power transmission and distribution company will also have a bright future.

The report not only gives you a specific description of the development of the power transmission and distribution industry, but also analysizes the overall statistics of all listed companies in this industry. The report provides you with an in-depth study on the main business, the investment and the future development of eighteen listed companies. It also predicts the future of the power transmission and distribution industry.

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